Case Method for Annual Event Timing
Validate annual timing with fixed year boundaries, predefined themes, eligible windows, full-period comparison, counterexamples, and uncertainty.
Overview
Annual timing is not validated by matching one event to one symbolic label. The case first fixes the year boundary, calendar, timezone, natal chart, luck pillar, and the annual stem-branch relation. It defines a narrow topic and time window before inspecting the record, then includes every eligible year, misses, competing explanations, and uncertain dates. A correspondence may support a traditional interpretation but does not establish causation or predictive accuracy. Annual indicators do not guarantee marriage, pregnancy, illness, legal trouble, profit, dismissal, or accidents.
At a glance
- Fixed inputs
- Year boundary, calendar, timezone, natal chart, luck pillar
- Pre-registration
- Theme, eligible relation, time window, success criterion
- Complete sample
- All qualifying years, matches, misses, and ambiguous records
- Alternatives
- Ordinary planning, environment, base rates, and other chart contacts
- Claim level
- Traditional correspondence, not demonstrated causation
- Does not establish
- Marriage, pregnancy, illness, lawsuit, profit, dismissal, accident
Fix the chart and annual boundary
Record the natal calculation, luck-pillar policy, year boundary, timezone, and annual stem-branch before reviewing the event history.
Do not move the boundary or recalculate the natal chart to improve a match. Preserve uncertain source dates as ranges.
- Freeze the calculation policy.
- Keep uncertain dates visible.
Define the timing test before seeing outcomes
Specify one topic, the relation expected to matter, the eligible window, and what counts as a match or miss.
Avoid broad themes such as “change” that can absorb nearly any event. Separate calibration examples from held-out validation.
- Use narrow outcome criteria.
- Separate calibration and testing.
Review every eligible year and counterexample
List all years meeting the same rule, including quiet periods, delayed events, and events without the rule.
Discuss base rates, overlapping relations, ordinary causes, and data quality. Do not report only memorable hits.
- Publish the denominator.
- Explain competing evidence.
Treat correspondence as non-causal
Annual Bazi markers do not prove or guarantee marriage, pregnancy, disease, legal action, profit, dismissal, injury, or death.
Use medical, legal, financial, safety, and relationship evidence for real decisions.
- Do not claim predictive certainty.
- Do not create harmful forecasts.
Sources and editorial basis
- 《三命通會》 (Sanming Tonghui)《三命通會》的太歲、歲運、干支作用及事件時序材料提供流年接觸的傳統分析背景A historical compilation covering stems and branches, Ten Gods, Nayin, Shen Sha, and multiple classical pattern systems.
- 《滴天髓》 (Dripping Heavenly Marrow)《滴天髓》及註本的歲運、命局喜忌、氣勢與變化材料支持先固定原局與大運再分析流年的次序A core later text on Bazi balance, seasonal strength, and relational reading.
- OpenFate Editorial Methodology流年應期案例頁預先定義主題、時間窗與命中標準並揭露完整分母、未命中及反例，不宣稱因果或事件保證OpenFate separates deterministic chart calculation, traditional interpretation, and modern editorial explanation.